Estimări de model al indicatorilor macroeconomici ai Republicii Moldova pentru perioada 2019-2022
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TOACĂ, Zinovia, OLĂRESCU, Zaharia. Estimări de model al indicatorilor macroeconomici ai Republicii Moldova pentru perioada 2019-2022. In: Competitivitatea şi inovarea în economia cunoaşterii, Ed. 21, 27-28 septembrie 2019, Chişinău. Chişinău Republica Moldova: Departamentul Editorial-Poligrafic al ASEM, 2019, Ediţia a 21-a , pp. 669-675. ISBN 978-9975-75-968-7.
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Competitivitatea şi inovarea în economia cunoaşterii
Ediţia a 21-a , 2019
Conferința "Competitivitate şi inovare în economia cunoaşterii"
21, Chişinău, Moldova, 27-28 septembrie 2019

Estimări de model al indicatorilor macroeconomici ai Republicii Moldova pentru perioada 2019-2022

Model estimates of the macroeconomic indicators of the Republic of Moldova for the period 2019-2022

JEL: C01, C51

Pag. 669-675

Toacă Zinovia, Olărescu Zaharia
 
Academia de Studii Economice din Moldova
 
 
Disponibil în IBN: 29 ianuarie 2020


Rezumat

Evaluation of the current situation of the national economy and elaboration the forecast of the main macroeconomics indicator for the medium term is the purpose of the paper Estimate of the macroeconomic indicators are carried out under an econometric model, which has the exogenous variables internal and external indicators. This allow to develop a forecast, which takes into account the economic influence of the main partners of the Republic of Moldova and decisions leading to the evolution of such internal indicators as a monetary aggregate M2, exchange rate, interest rate credit. The forecast of rates of economic growth are determined by a possible improvement of the investment climate and the business environment in the Republic of Moldova. The relatively large share of the added value of the agricultural sector in GDP makes the economic evolution of the Republic of Moldova dependent on the climatic conditions .  

Cuvinte-cheie
economic evolution, economic forecasting, econometric model