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SM ISO690:2012 COJOCARU, Virginia. Metodologia de modelare a migrației la nivel regional. In: Creşterea economică în condiţiile globalizării: :Dinamica populaţiei şi calitatea potenţialului uman, Ed. 7th edition, 12-13 octombrie 2017, Chişinău. Chişinau, Moldova: Complexul Editorial INCE, 2017, Ediția 12, pp. 55-61. ISBN 978-9975-3171-7-7. |
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Creşterea economică în condiţiile globalizării Ediția 12, 2017 |
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Congresul "Creşterea economică în condiţiile globalizării" 7th edition, Chişinău, Moldova, 12-13 octombrie 2017 | ||||||
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Migrations are distinguished by flows (arrivals, departures) and their result that mean the migration gain (or balance of migration), i.e. the difference between the number of arrivals to the territory and the number of departures. The migration flows and migration increase are formed under the influence of different causes; therefore the methods of their forecasting are also different. A realistic forecast of migrations based on knowledge of the laws of this process is extremely important both for successfully managing migrations and for assessing the possibility of increasing the number of labor resources in areas with low growth. The final result of the prediction of migrations is to obtain the migration increase (decrease) of each sex-age group of the population of Moldova for each year of the forecast period. However, when forming the hypotheses of the long-term development of migration processes, it should be remembered that the overall balance of population migration (of a certain age and gender group) is just a mathematical difference between two significant values – the number of arrivals and the number of departures, and in itself has a limited semantic load. |
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Cuvinte-cheie displacement, migration, prediction, demography, regional issues, population density, gravity model, deplasare, migraţie, prognoză, consecințe demografice, aspecte regionale, densitatea populației, model gravitațional. |
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