Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study
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WEN, Bo, WU, Yao, GUO, Yuming, GASPARRINI, Antonio, TONG, Shilu, OVERCENCO, Ala, URBAN, Aleas, SCHNEIDER, Alexandra E., ENTEZARI, Alireza, VICEDO-CABRERA, Ana Maria , ZANOBETTI, Antonella, ANALITIS, Antonis, NOI, Autori. Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study. In: Environment International, 2024, vol. 187, pp. 1-13. ISSN 0160-4120. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2024.108712
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Environment International
Volumul 187 / 2024 / ISSN 0160-4120 /ISSNe 1873-6750

Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2024.108712

Pag. 1-13

Wen Bo1, Wu Yao1, Guo Yuming1, Gasparrini Antonio2, Tong Shilu3456, Overcenco Ala7, Urban Aleas89, Schneider Alexandra E.10, Entezari Alireza11, Vicedo-Cabrera Ana Maria 2, Zanobetti Antonella12, Analitis Antonis13, Noi Autori
 
1 Monash University, Melbourne,
2 London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,
3 Shanghai Jiao Tong University,
4 Anhui Medical University, Hefei,
5 Nanjing Medical University,
6 Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane,
7 National Agency for Public Health,
8 Czech Academy of Sciences,
9 Czech University of Life Sciences Prague,
10 Helmholtz Center Munich German Research Center for Environmental Health,
11 Hakim Sabzevari University,
12 Howard University,
13 National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (N.K.U.A.)
 
 
Disponibil în IBN: 13 mai 2024


Rezumat

Background: Temperature variability (TV) is associated with increased mortality risk. However, it is still unknown whether intra-day or inter-day TV has different effects. Objectives: We aimed to assess the association of intra-day TV and inter-day TV with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. Methods: We collected data on total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and meteorology from 758 locations in 47 countries or regions from 1972 to 2020. We defined inter-day TV as the standard deviation (SD) of daily mean temperatures across the lag interval, and intra-day TV as the average SD of minimum and maximum temperatures on each day. In the first stage, inter-day and intra-day TVs were modelled simultaneously in the quasi-Poisson time-series model for each location. In the second stage, a multi-level analysis was used to pool the location-specific estimates. Results: Overall, the mortality risk due to each interquartile range [IQR] increase was higher for intra-day TV than for inter-day TV. The risk increased by 0.59% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53, 0.65) for all-cause mortality, 0.64% (95% CI: 0.56, 0.73) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.65% (95% CI: 0.49, 0.80) for respiratory mortality per IQR increase in intra-day TV0–7 (0.9 °C). An IQR increase in inter-day TV0–7 (1.6 °C) was associated with 0.22% (95% CI: 0.18, 0.26) increase in all-cause mortality, 0.44% (95% CI: 0.37, 0.50) increase in cardiovascular mortality, and 0.31% (95% CI: 0.21, 0.41) increase in respiratory mortality. The proportion of all-cause deaths attributable to intra-day TV0–7 and inter-day TV0–7 was 1.45% and 0.35%, respectively. The mortality risks varied by lag interval, climate area, season, and climate type. Conclusions: Our results indicated that intra-day TV may explain the main part of the mortality risk related to TV and suggested that comprehensive evaluations should be proposed in more countries to help protect human health. 

Cuvinte-cheie
cardiovascular mortality, Confidence interval, Inter quartile ranges, Inter-day, Intra-day, mortality, mortality risk, standard deviation, temperature variability, Times series