Time series analysis of wind speed and temperature in Tiraspol, Moldova
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BURTIEV, Rashid, GREENWELL, Fernanda, KOLIVENKO, Vitalii. Time series analysis of wind speed and temperature in Tiraspol, Moldova. In: Environmental Engineering and Management Journal, 2013, vol. 12, pp. 23-33. ISSN 1582-9596. DOI: https://doi.org/10.30638/eemj.2013.004
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Environmental Engineering and Management Journal
Volumul 12 / 2013 / ISSN 1582-9596

Time series analysis of wind speed and temperature in Tiraspol, Moldova

DOI:https://doi.org/10.30638/eemj.2013.004

Pag. 23-33

Burtiev Rashid1, Greenwell Fernanda, Kolivenko Vitalii2
 
1 Institute of Geology and Seismology, ASM,
2 Meteorological Center, Tiraspol
 
 
Disponibil în IBN: 22 august 2023


Rezumat

This research analyses time series of air temperature and wind speed. Trends and periodical components are defined for both time series with no significant statistical relationship between them. The spectral analysis of temperature series with no trends shows the peak frequency fc = 1/12, corresponding to a seasonal periodical component. The graph of the spectral density function of the wind speed time series does not manifest a seasonal periodic component. Forecasting of both time series is carried out using exponential smoothing with a moving average and an ARIMA model. Prediction for 2012 is computed using a multiplicative approach bases on Winters and ARIMA models.

Cuvinte-cheie
ARIMA models, autocorrelation, temperature, time series, wind speed