FDI- Exports-GDP nexus in the Republic of Moldova
Закрыть
Conţinutul numărului revistei
Articolul precedent
Articolul urmator
121 7
Ultima descărcare din IBN:
2024-04-20 14:02
Căutarea după subiecte
similare conform CZU
[339.564+330.55](478) (1)
Внешняя торговля. Международная торговля. Внешнеторговая политика. Таможенные пошлины (386)
Национальное богатство. Валовой национальный продукт. Совокупный общественный продукт. Народнохозяйственные балансы. Национальные счета (218)
SM ISO690:2012
TOACĂ, Zinovia, FALĂ, Victoria. FDI- Exports-GDP nexus in the Republic of Moldova. In: Economia Contemporană, 2022, vol. 7, nr. 4, pp. 193-204. ISSN 2537-4222.
EXPORT metadate:
Google Scholar
Crossref
CERIF

DataCite
Dublin Core
Economia Contemporană
Volumul 7, Numărul 4 / 2022 / ISSN 2537-4222

FDI- Exports-GDP nexus in the Republic of Moldova

CZU: [339.564+330.55](478)
JEL: F13, F14, F17, F43.

Pag. 193-204

Toacă Zinovia1, Fală Victoria2
 
1 Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova,
2 National Institute for Economic Research of Moldova
 
 
Disponibil în IBN: 14 martie 2024


Rezumat

Exports and FDI are important tools of Governments to stimulate economic growth and prosperity. Many countries implemented successfully export led-grow models in their development path. Being a small European transition economy affected by mass migration, Moldova is trying to change its consumption led growth model fueled by remittances by an investment and export growth led model, were FDI have to be an important driver. Though, FDI inflows in Moldova are small comparative to many European countries, the economic growth is slowing down on long term, while there is slight improvement in export competitiveness. The aim of this paper was to analyze the long term causality between FDI, GDP and exports of goods in the Republic of Moldova. Estimations were performed based on the available data for the period 1995-2021. The Granger causality approach has been applied to test the relationship between the 3 variables based on annual data. The authors found a unidirectional causality relationship running from FDI to GDP, FDI to exports, and a Granger causality from GDP to merchandise exports. An impulse-response analysis has been performed based on VECM models. A 1% growth in FDI in Republic of Moldova causes an increase of GDP by 0.09 p.p. and of exports of goods by 0.08%.

Cuvinte-cheie
Exports, foreign direct investments, economic growth, Granger causality, VECM model, transition economy