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SM ISO690:2012 USTINAVICIUTE, Laura, LAURINAVICIUS, Alfredas, ZUKAUSKIENE, Rita. Examination of predictive validity of offender assessment system OASYS in Lithuanian offender sample. In: The contemporary issues of the socio-humanistic sciences, Ed. 6, 11-12 decembrie 2015, Chișinău. Chișinău, Republica Moldova: Universitatea Liberă Internațională din Moldova, 2015, Ediția 6, Vol.1, pp. 98-104. ISBN 978-9975-933-80-3. |
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The contemporary issues of the socio-humanistic sciences Ediția 6, Vol.1, 2015 |
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Conferința "Preocupări contemporane ale ştiinţelor socio-umane" 6, Chișinău, Moldova, 11-12 decembrie 2015 | ||||||
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Pag. 98-104 | ||||||
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The main aim of the study is the examination of some psychometric characteristics and predictive validity of the Offender Assessment System OASys in Lithuanian offenders’ sample. The results of the study were as expected and has confirmed scientific data in the field of criminal behaviour and reoffending. Sufficient indexes of internal reliability were found, especially using all the items. High reliability (above 0, 7) allows using OASys for individual assessment. In this study Cronbach’s alpha was 0, 92. Prediction of reconviction using OASys 2 total score and separate scales was better than random guess. The best predictors among separate OASys scales were Education, training and employability (AUC = 0.68, p = 0.00), Lifestyle and Associates (AUC =0.68, p = 0.00), Criminal history (AUC = 0.66, p = 0.00), Financial management and income (AUC = 0.66, p = 0.00). The weakest predictor was Alcohol misuse. It was only slightly better predictor than random guess (AUC = 0.53, p = 0.05). Prediction of reconviction using OASys 2 total score was sufficient, AUC = 0.71, p = 0.04. The study provides support for risk assessment with the OASys in Lithuanian correctional system. |
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Cuvinte-cheie Offender Assessment System, OASys, prediction, prisoners, reconviction |
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