Investigation on the potential manipulation of robor interest rates
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336.71(498) (6)
Monedă. Sistem monetar. Bănci. Bursa de mărfuri (774)
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VASILCA, Miruna-Mihaela, VID, Alin Ioan, ANTON, George. Investigation on the potential manipulation of robor interest rates. In: Creşterea economică în condiţiile globalizării, Ed. 16, 12-13 octombrie 2022, Chișinău. Chisinau, Moldova: INCE, 2022, Ediția 16, pp. 50-50b.
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Dublin Core
Creşterea economică în condiţiile globalizării
Ediția 16, 2022
Conferința "Creşterea economică în condiţiile globalizării"
16, Chișinău, Moldova, 12-13 octombrie 2022

Investigation on the potential manipulation of robor interest rates

CZU: 336.71(498)
JEL: E4, E43.

Pag. 50-50b

Vasilca Miruna-Mihaela, Vid Alin Ioan, Anton George
 
Bucharest University of Economic Studies
 
 
Disponibil în IBN: 3 noiembrie 2022


Rezumat

Recently observers have expressed concerns that the ROBOR benchmark interest rates may not accurately reflect the costs of interbank lending. ROBOR rates are reference indices for variable interest loans granted to both individuals and corporate clients, but also for derivative financial contracts that has ROBOR as the underlying asset. Therefore, the impact of ROBOR's relevance is reflected in a much wider range of financial products addressed to the population, which will bear all the changes related to its volatility. Therefore, the importance of the evolution and variation of this index is indisputable from the perspective of end-consumers of banking products. This paper examines a possible manipulation of the prices of interbank deposits. In order to evaluate the evolution of the relevant ROBOR rates from the perspective of the existence of a market manipulation behaviour, for the period July 2, 2018 - April 4, 2022, two scenarios were analysed: i) a cartel agreement colluded between two or more participants in order to obtain an additional financial income related to the loan portfolio indexed to ROBOR; respectively ii) a cartel agreement colluded between two or more participants in order to use inside information regarding the monetary policy decisions of the National Bank of Romania (NBR). Analysing the hypotheses of the two scenarios, we conclude that there are no indications of a possible manipulation of ROBOR interest rates by tacit agreements between participants at Fixing or by using inside information on monetary policy decisions of the NBR.

Cuvinte-cheie
Romanian Interbank Offer Rate (ROBOR), Benchmark interest rates, Market abuse, Market manipulation, Inside information, cartel