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502.5+574 (1) |
Natura. Studiul și conservarea naturii. Protecția naturii și a animalelor sălbatice. (672) |
Ecologie generală şi biodiversitate (779) |
SM ISO690:2012 IVAKHNYUK, Sergey. About the cascade of development of emergency situations and their cause-effect scenarios. In: Ecological and environmental chemistry : - 2022, Ed. 7, 3-4 martie 2022, Chișinău. Chisinau: Centrul Editorial-Poligrafic al USM, 2022, Ediția 7, Vol.1, pp. 31-32. ISBN 978-9975-159-07-4.. 10.19261/eec.2022.v1 |
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Ecological and environmental chemistry Ediția 7, Vol.1, 2022 |
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Conferința "Ecological and environmental chemistry 2022" 7, Chișinău, Moldova, 3-4 martie 2022 | ||||||
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CZU: 502.5+574 | ||||||
Pag. 31-32 | ||||||
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In modern technical literature, there is traditionally a stereotype about the hard ware machine cascade of the development of man made emergencies (from tank to tank, etc.). At the same time, it is believed that world industrial production has its roots in those distant times when the first man made chemical reactors (bonfires) and the f irst industrial product (charcoal) appeared [1]. These conclusions (assumptions) suggest that chemical processes are the forerunner (basis) of industrial production. In this regard, the comparison of a series of technological patterns of the development of the world economy with the history of the formation of chemical science reveals a certain correlation between them and the exponential growth of various types of emergencies (natural, man made, biosocial) [2], which was marked especially by the end of the XX beginning of the XI centuries [3]. Large scale forest fires, floods, earthquakes natural emergencies (emergencies), as well as man made emergencies (emergencies) cause a response in the form of various biosocial manifestations (BSPs) from protest actions of the population [4] to environmental and political terrorism [5, 6] and contrariwise. Having analyzed the consequences of any kind of emergency, it can be argued that they are a kind of impulse for the cascade transition of one into another. F ig. Triangle of cascading development of emergency situations For example, man made accidents at oil and gas complex enterprises lead to large scale environmental pollution, which has both serious environmental consequences and causes activation of protest moods among the population. In turn, manifestations of environmental or political terrorism arson of forests or low technological culture in production leads to fires and explosions, provoking the entry of numerous pollutants into the atmosphere, hydro and lithosphere. Another example is the shortage of both drinking and irrigation water due to climatic or geographical reasons, leading to incidents and accidents at economic facilities and the emergence of armed interstate confrontation aimed at the redis tribution of water resources. Thus, there are reasons justifying the cascading of the mutual transition of one type of emergency into another, graphically displayed in the form of a corresponding triangle graph (see Fig.), marking the separation of methodo logical approaches and the transition to a higher level of understanding of their genesis and transformation: from hardware machine to cause and effect scenarios. |
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