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SM ISO690:2012 ГИНСАРЬ, В.Н. Оценка повторяемости и вероятности сильных землетрясений зоны Вранча
. In: Buletinul Institutului de Geologie şi Seismologie al AŞM, 2005, nr. 1, pp. 35-47. ISSN 1857-0046. |
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Buletinul Institutului de Geologie şi Seismologie al AŞM | |||||
Numărul 1 / 2005 / ISSN 1857-0046 | |||||
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Pag. 35-47 | |||||
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Some parts of seismic hazard assessment, conditioned by zone Vrancea intermediate
earthquakes, are presented in this paper. It was made by using of three methods – classical
Gutenberg-Richter’s formula, maximum entropy principle (MEP), adopted for the estimation of
the strong earthquakes recurrence and on the base of Huo and Hwang‘s modification of
recurrence law containing to the characteristics of stochastic distribution.
The analysis of recurrence relationships was made for two types of magnitudes, for
different time intervals and by the assignment of the alternative values of maximum possible
earthquake magnitude. The probability of earthquake occurrence in specified magnitude range
and in specified time limit was estimated.
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