Оценка повторяемости и вероятности сильных землетрясений зоны Вранча
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ГИНСАРЬ, В.Н. Оценка повторяемости и вероятности сильных землетрясений зоны Вранча . In: Buletinul Institutului de Geologie şi Seismologie al AŞM, 2005, nr. 1, pp. 35-47. ISSN 1857-0046.
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Buletinul Institutului de Geologie şi Seismologie al AŞM
Numărul 1 / 2005 / ISSN 1857-0046

Оценка повторяемости и вероятности сильных землетрясений зоны Вранча

Pag. 35-47

Гинсарь В.Н
 
Институт геологии и сейсмологии АНМ
 
Disponibil în IBN: 29 noiembrie 2013


Rezumat

Some parts of seismic hazard assessment, conditioned by zone Vrancea intermediate earthquakes, are presented in this paper. It was made by using of three methods – classical Gutenberg-Richter’s formula, maximum entropy principle (MEP), adopted for the estimation of the strong earthquakes recurrence and on the base of Huo and Hwang‘s modification of recurrence law containing to the characteristics of stochastic distribution. The analysis of recurrence relationships was made for two types of magnitudes, for different time intervals and by the assignment of the alternative values of maximum possible earthquake magnitude. The probability of earthquake occurrence in specified magnitude range and in specified time limit was estimated.