Predictibilitatea crizelor financiare
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338.124.4(1-77) (1)
Situație economică. Ciclu economic. Dezvoltarea structurii economice. Creștere (277)
SM ISO690:2012
COCIUG, Victoria, MALENDRA, Denis. Predictibilitatea crizelor financiare. In: Competitivitatea şi Inovarea în Economia Cunoaşterii, Ed. 21, 28-29 septembrie 2018, Chișinău. Chisinau, Republica Moldova: Departamentul Editorial-Poligrafic al ASEM, 2018, Ediția 21, Vol.1, pp. 341-348. ISBN 978-9975-75-932-8.
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Competitivitatea şi Inovarea în Economia Cunoaşterii
Ediția 21, Vol.1, 2018
Conferința "Competitivitatea şi Inovarea în Economia Cunoaşterii"
21, Chișinău, Moldova, 28-29 septembrie 2018

Predictibilitatea crizelor financiare

CZU: 338.124.4(1-77)
JEL: C53 E44 G10 G11

Pag. 341-348

Cociug Victoria, Malendra Denis
 
Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova
 
 
Disponibil în IBN: 16 ianuarie 2019


Rezumat

Different forces and potential benefits are pushing towards increasing financial globalization. However, globalization can carry important risks. This article reviews the literature on crises and contagion in the context of modern financial crises. In the same time, the article explains the meaning of crises, its origins and the ways of contagion.  In doing so, the article aims to draw the picture of the contagion effect and set it against the background of modern financial crises. The main purpose of this article is to present novel aspects of the contagion effect, hence clarifying the contagion theory that still remains confusing and ambiguous for both the academics and financial markets’ practitioners.  This paper aims to find macroeconomic and financial variables with ability to predict financial crises. The main finding is that the different mechanisms by which a crisis can spread greatly differ from each other both in their causes and implications. Policy measures that do not take these differences into account may do more harm than good.

Cuvinte-cheie
financial crisis, Leading Indicators, predictability